Herramientas para el estudio de la incertidumbre asociada a la estimación del balance hídrico en el sistema de acueducto de la ciudad de Bogotá
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Galindo Salazar, Diana Constanza
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Este documento presenta el desarrollo de una metodología para el cálculo de la incertidumbre individual y acumulada de cada uno de los componentes del balance hídrico sugerido por la IWA y para varios indicadores de eficiencia comúnmente utilizados. El principal objetivo de la investigación buscar ofrecer a las empresas de servicio público herramientas que les permita medir la confiabilidad de sus sistemas de medición y evaluación tanto de pérdidas físicas como comerciales, de forma que en base a los resultados de los cálculos derivados de estos pueda tomar mejores decisiones y por tanto enfocar mejor sus programas de optimización de redes y reducción de pérdidas físicas de agua. La evaluación de la incertidumbre se realiza con base en el desarrollo de series de Taylor para el cálculo de incertidumbre de primer orden.
Abstract. This paper presents the development of a methodology for the calculation of individual uncertainty and accumulated for each of the components of the water balance suggested by the IWA and several commonly used indicators of efficiency. The main objective of the research seek to provide utilities tools that allow them to measure the reliability of their measurement systems and evaluation of both physical losses as commercial, so that based on the results of the calculations derived from these can make better decisions and therefore better focus their programs network optimization and reduction of physical water losses. The uncertainty assessment is made based on the Taylor series development for calculating first-order uncertainty.
Abstract. This paper presents the development of a methodology for the calculation of individual uncertainty and accumulated for each of the components of the water balance suggested by the IWA and several commonly used indicators of efficiency. The main objective of the research seek to provide utilities tools that allow them to measure the reliability of their measurement systems and evaluation of both physical losses as commercial, so that based on the results of the calculations derived from these can make better decisions and therefore better focus their programs network optimization and reduction of physical water losses. The uncertainty assessment is made based on the Taylor series development for calculating first-order uncertainty.