Estimación de sendas salariales y aplicación al problema de la existencia de subsidios en el régimen de prima media
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Martínez Roldan, Luis Esteban
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Este trabajo muestra la metodología de cálculo de la senda salarial propuesta por Montenegro, Jiménez y Hurtado (2013), y además propone una serie de metodologías para la construcción de la senda salarial por medio de regresiones no paramétricas, enfocándose principalmente en el Régimen de Prima Media con Prestación Definida (RPM-PD). Teniendo en cuenta esto, el objetivo de este trabajo es realizar un estudio comparativo entre estas dos metodologías utilizando los datos de la Alcaldía de Medellín para los periodos 2008, 2011 y 2014; luego se determina cuál metodología es la más apropiada para cuantificar la senda salarial. Así mismo, se utilizan las sendas salariales calculadas para estimar los aportes de un trabajador genérico durante su vida laboral, tales aportes más los rendimientos financieros conforman el capital acumulado que se invierte en la compra de una pensión mediante una renta vitalicia. Eventualmente, con base en esta estimación se establecerá, si las condiciones permiten que existan subsidios en el RPM-PD, y en caso afirmativo, cuantificar el subsidio que será transferido por el Estado.
Abstract: This paper shows the methodology for calculating the wage path proposed by Montenegro, Jiménez and Hurtado (2013), and also proposes a series of methodologies for the construction of the wage path through non-parametric regressions, focusing mainly on the Premium Regime Defined Benefit Media (RPM-PD). Taking into account this, the objective of this work is to conduct a comparative study between these two methodologies using the data of the Alcaldía of Medellín for the periods 2008, 2011 and 2014; then determine which methodology is most appropriate to quantify the path wage. Likewise, the salary paths calculated to estimate the contributions of a generic worker during his working life are used, such contributions plus the financial returns are the accumulated capital that is invested in the purchase of a pension through an annuity. Eventually, based on this estimate will be established, if the conditions allow for subsidies in the RPM-PD, and if so, quantify the subsidy that will be transferred by the State
Abstract: This paper shows the methodology for calculating the wage path proposed by Montenegro, Jiménez and Hurtado (2013), and also proposes a series of methodologies for the construction of the wage path through non-parametric regressions, focusing mainly on the Premium Regime Defined Benefit Media (RPM-PD). Taking into account this, the objective of this work is to conduct a comparative study between these two methodologies using the data of the Alcaldía of Medellín for the periods 2008, 2011 and 2014; then determine which methodology is most appropriate to quantify the path wage. Likewise, the salary paths calculated to estimate the contributions of a generic worker during his working life are used, such contributions plus the financial returns are the accumulated capital that is invested in the purchase of a pension through an annuity. Eventually, based on this estimate will be established, if the conditions allow for subsidies in the RPM-PD, and if so, quantify the subsidy that will be transferred by the State