Una aproximación a la formación de precios basada en la dinámica de las expectativas
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Tolosa Bello, Yachay Julián
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Este documento explora la forma en que el aprendizaje de los individuos puede ser un elemento central en el estudio de la dinámica de los sistemas de mercado. Para ello se elabora un modelo que representa una economía altamente descentralizada en la cual los individuos ajustan su comportamiento, con base en sus observaciones de variables como los precios, siguiendo un proceso de aprendizaje bayesiano. De esta manera, se logra construir representaciones de la dinámica de sistemas de mercado fuera del equilibrio y en ausencia de instituciones centrales.
Abstract. This work explores how the learning process of individuals when they interact can be a key element in the study of market systems. To achieve this, it is created a model that represents a highly-decentralized economy in which individuals adjust their behavior, based on their observations of variables such as prices, following a Bayesian learning process. In this way, it is possible to build representations of the dynamics of market systems out of equilibrium and in the absence of central institutions.
Abstract. This work explores how the learning process of individuals when they interact can be a key element in the study of market systems. To achieve this, it is created a model that represents a highly-decentralized economy in which individuals adjust their behavior, based on their observations of variables such as prices, following a Bayesian learning process. In this way, it is possible to build representations of the dynamics of market systems out of equilibrium and in the absence of central institutions.